Description

This analysis provides a forecast of HBAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 0.040806 0.046334 0.052484 0.059860 0.068501 0.078345 0.090467
2024-10-06 0.033807 0.041546 0.051014 0.063572 0.079978 0.100944 0.130185
2024-10-13 0.027269 0.035237 0.045599 0.060289 0.080956 0.109577 0.153261
2024-10-20 0.023486 0.031573 0.042612 0.059128 0.083832 0.120447 0.180880
2024-10-27 0.020530 0.028501 0.039823 0.057540 0.085449 0.129312 0.206881
2024-11-03 0.018995 0.027181 0.039256 0.058988 0.091685 0.146157 0.249493
2024-11-10 0.017740 0.026085 0.038820 0.060470 0.098071 0.164253 0.298584
2024-11-17 0.016349 0.024602 0.037570 0.060382 0.101671 0.177989 0.342713
2024-11-24 0.014989 0.023014 0.035950 0.059403 0.103443 0.188539 0.382918
2024-12-01 0.014069 0.022037 0.035212 0.059837 0.107841 0.204939 0.440322
2024-12-08 0.013198 0.021052 0.034343 0.059891 0.111466 0.220389 0.499970
2024-12-15 0.012479 0.020253 0.033706 0.060279 0.115788 0.238143 0.570838
2024-12-22 0.011442 0.018875 0.032012 0.058639 0.116114 0.248178 0.628331
2024-12-29 0.011173 0.018844 0.032796 0.062100 0.128311 0.289661 0.793972
2025-01-05 0.010105 0.017264 0.030503 0.058897 0.124817 0.291245 0.838402
2025-01-12 0.009397 0.016285 0.029266 0.057767 0.126009 0.305447 0.931260
2025-01-19 0.008718 0.015302 0.027921 0.056222 0.125916 0.316166 1.017446
2025-01-26 0.008409 0.014999 0.027901 0.057631 0.133534 0.351083 1.214108
2025-02-02 0.008125 0.014720 0.027897 0.059072 0.141541 0.389689 1.450681
2025-02-09 0.007726 0.014176 0.027284 0.058987 0.145395 0.416401 1.653241
2025-02-16 0.007286 0.013516 0.026364 0.058034 0.146637 0.434900 1.830093
2025-02-23 0.006994 0.013136 0.026014 0.058456 0.151992 0.469578 2.117767
2025-03-02 0.006694 0.012718 0.025542 0.058509 0.156271 0.501921 2.421006